πThe Tide Has Turntπ
Building on last week’s gain, major indexes rose sharply on Monday, with optimism revolving around the higher probability of a Fed cut.
π―It was a terrific day for semiconductor stocks, and Nvidia and Super Micro Computer jumped more than 3%. Airline shares also shone, with American Airlines Group, Southwest Airlines, and United Airlines jumping by more than 4%.
π― What’s particularly reassuring is that the positive momentum propelled the S&P 500 above its 50-day moving average. This is a significant milestone, marking the first time the index has closed above the average since April 12, after a prolonged period of losses. This could potentially signal a more stable and upward trajectory for the market.Β
If the index holds above this fortress, it could revive traders’ confidence in a subsequent rally. Given a relatively data-light week, the focus will be on earnings, Fed speakers, and the technical levels of the stocks that shape the trajectory.Β
π― More volatility should be expected soon, as the May CPI data will be incoming next week. With inflation printing at a simmering high at the start of the quarter, all attention will be paid to the next inflation report.Β
π― The breather from bond markets, with the 10-year Treasury yield remaining flat for the day, is supporting the upswing in stocks. This gives stocks the blessing of recovering from significant losses.Β
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